Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000692 0.000787 0.000887 0.001000 0.001125 0.001257 0.001409
2025-09-14 0.000542 0.000672 0.000820 0.000997 0.001205 0.001438 0.001718
2025-09-21 0.000455 0.000600 0.000771 0.000987 0.001247 0.001550 0.001926
2025-09-28 0.000386 0.000538 0.000725 0.000968 0.001273 0.001639 0.002105
2025-10-05 0.000351 0.000512 0.000717 0.000993 0.001348 0.001783 0.002351
2025-10-12 0.000319 0.000487 0.000707 0.001011 0.001412 0.001914 0.002581
2025-10-19 0.000283 0.000451 0.000679 0.001002 0.001439 0.001996 0.002750
2025-10-26 0.000251 0.000418 0.000651 0.000990 0.001459 0.002068 0.002906
2025-11-02 0.000230 0.000398 0.000640 0.001000 0.001507 0.002177 0.003111
2025-11-09 0.000209 0.000376 0.000624 0.001000 0.001539 0.002264 0.003289
2025-11-16 0.000183 0.000343 0.000589 0.000970 0.001529 0.002293 0.003388
2025-11-23 0.000160 0.000315 0.000557 0.000944 0.001521 0.002322 0.003486
2025-11-30 0.000145 0.000297 0.000542 0.000941 0.001546 0.002399 0.003655
2025-12-07 0.000132 0.000282 0.000529 0.000940 0.001575 0.002482 0.003831
2025-12-14 0.000119 0.000263 0.000510 0.000929 0.001587 0.002540 0.003975
2025-12-21 0.000106 0.000245 0.000488 0.000912 0.001588 0.002582 0.004095
2025-12-28 0.000101 0.000241 0.000492 0.000935 0.001653 0.002717 0.004351
2026-01-04 0.000095 0.000235 0.000492 0.000953 0.001708 0.002839 0.004591
2026-01-11 0.000086 0.000222 0.000477 0.000944 0.001721 0.002899 0.004741
2026-01-18 0.000077 0.000208 0.000461 0.000933 0.001729 0.002951 0.004878
2026-01-25 0.000072 0.000202 0.000458 0.000942 0.001771 0.003054 0.005094
2026-02-01 0.000067 0.000193 0.000449 0.000942 0.001796 0.003132 0.005274
2026-02-08 0.000058 0.000177 0.000425 0.000914 0.001774 0.003136 0.005341